Sep. 12th 2025
QQQ notches another all-time high; Raincheck Fund up +70.44% since uptrend began
Market Signal: +7 STRONG BULLISH
The NASDAQ-100 (QQQ) has closed up for 8 consecutive days, the longest winning streak since the uptrend began.
QQQ stayed above the level described in last weeks post, and broke out to new all-time highs.
TQQQ is up a whopping +70.44% since the start of the current uptrend. This is the best position identified by Raincheck Fund's Market Signal year-to-date.
The next Federal Reserve interest rate decision arrives this Wednesday at 2:00 PM ET.
QQQ breaks out to new all-time highsNASDAQ-100 52-week highs
The following NASDAQ-100 (QQQ) holdings closed at a 52-week high today:
GOOG $241.38 +0.25%GOOGL $240.80 +0.18%APP $582.00 +1.87%MU $157.23 +4.42%LRCX $116.96 +1.19%KLAC $964.02 +0.49%MNST $64.69 +1.39%WBD $18.87 +16.70%
📈93rd day of uptrend
Day 📈1 of current uptrend occurred on Thurs. May 1st 2025.
QQQ+21.79% since start of current uptrendTQQQ+70.44% since start of current uptrend
| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Market Signal | Trend Count | QQQ Close | QQQ %chg since 📈1 | TQQQ close | TQQQ %chg since 📈1 | Date |
|
2
|
2 | 📈1 | $481.68 | 0.00% | $56.77 | 0.00% | Thu 5/1/25 |
|
3
|
2 | 📈2 | $488.83 | 1.48% | $59.43 | 4.69% | Fri 5/2/25 |
|
4
|
2 | 📈3 | $485.93 | 0.88% | $58.40 | 2.87% | Mon 5/5/25 |
|
5
|
2 | 📈4 | $481.41 | -0.06% | $56.74 | -0.05% | Tue 5/6/25 |
|
6
|
2 | 📈5 | $483.30 | 0.34% | $57.40 | 1.11% | Wed 5/7/25 |
|
7
|
2 | 📈6 | $488.29 | 1.37% | $59.11 | 4.12% | Thu 5/8/25 |
|
8
|
2 | 📈7 | $487.97 | 1.31% | $58.97 | 3.88% | Fri 5/9/25 |
|
9
|
3 | 📈8 | $507.85 | 5.43% | $66.11 | 16.45% | Mon 5/12/25 |
|
10
|
3 | 📈9 | $515.59 | 7.04% | $69.14 | 21.79% | Tue 5/13/25 |
|
11
|
3 | 📈10 | $518.68 | 7.68% | $70.36 | 23.94% | Wed 5/14/25 |
|
12
|
3 | 📈11 | $519.25 | 7.80% | $70.58 | 24.33% | Thu 5/15/25 |
|
13
|
3 | 📈12 | $521.51 | 8.27% | $71.45 | 25.86% | Fri 5/16/25 |
|
14
|
3 | 📈13 | $522.01 | 8.37% | $71.64 | 26.19% | Mon 5/19/25 |
|
15
|
3 | 📈14 | $520.27 | 8.01% | $70.89 | 24.87% | Tue 5/20/25 |
|
16
|
3 | 📈15 | $513.04 | 6.51% | $67.94 | 19.68% | Wed 5/21/25 |
|
17
|
2 | 📈16 | $514.00 | 6.71% | $68.29 | 20.29% | Thu 5/22/25 |
|
18
|
2 | 📈17 | $509.24 | 5.72% | $66.32 | 16.82% | Fri 5/23/25 |
|
19
|
4 | 📈18 | $521.22 | 8.21% | $70.94 | 24.96% | Tue 5/27/25 |
|
20
|
3 | 📈19 | $518.91 | 7.73% | $70.03 | 23.36% | Wed 5/28/25 |
|
21
|
3 | 📈20 | $519.93 | 7.94% | $70.37 | 23.96% | Thu 5/29/25 |
|
22
|
3 | 📈21 | $519.11 | 7.77% | $70.00 | 23.30% | Fri 5/30/25 |
|
23
|
4 | 📈22 | $523.21 | 8.62% | $71.61 | 26.14% | Mon 6/2/25 |
|
24
|
4 | 📈23 | $527.30 | 9.47% | $73.28 | 29.08% | Tue 6/3/25 |
|
25
|
3 | 📈24 | $528.77 | 9.78% | $73.87 | 30.12% | Wed 6/4/25 |
|
26
|
3 | 📈25 | $524.79 | 8.95% | $72.15 | 27.09% | Thu 6/5/25 |
|
27
|
4 | 📈26 | $529.92 | 10.01% | $74.21 | 30.72% | Fri 6/6/25 |
|
28
|
3 | 📈27 | $530.70 | 10.18% | $74.54 | 31.30% | Mon 6/9/25 |
|
29
|
3 | 📈28 | $534.21 | 10.91% | $75.98 | 33.84% | Tue 6/10/25 |
|
30
|
3 | 📈29 | $532.41 | 10.53% | $75.20 | 32.46% | Wed 6/11/25 |
|
31
|
3 | 📈30 | $533.66 | 10.79% | $75.69 | 33.33% | Thu 6/12/25 |
|
32
|
2 | 📈31 | $526.96 | 9.40% | $72.83 | 28.29% | Fri 6/13/25 |
|
33
|
3 | 📈32 | $534.29 | 10.92% | $75.80 | 33.52% | Mon 6/16/25 |
|
34
|
2 | 📈33 | $529.08 | 9.84% | $73.56 | 29.58% | Tue 6/17/25 |
|
35
|
2 | 📈34 | $528.99 | 9.82% | $73.46 | 29.40% | Wed 6/18/25 |
|
36
|
2 | 📈35 | $526.83 | 9.37% | $72.45 | 27.62% | Fri 6/20/25 |
|
37
|
7 | 📈36 | $531.65 | 10.37% | $74.70 | 31.58% | Mon 6/23/25 |
|
38
|
7 | 📈37 | $539.78 | 12.06% | $78.10 | 37.57% | Tue 6/24/25 |
|
39
|
7 | 📈38 | $541.16 | 12.35% | $78.48 | 38.24% | Wed 6/25/25 |
|
40
|
8 | 📈39 | $546.22 | 13.40% | $80.63 | 42.03% | Thu 6/26/25 |
|
41
|
7 | 📈40 | $548.09 | 13.79% | $81.42 | 43.42% | Fri 6/27/25 |
|
42
|
8 | 📈41 | $551.64 | 14.52% | $83.00 | 46.20% | Mon 6/30/25 |
|
43
|
7 | 📈42 | $546.99 | 13.56% | $80.89 | 42.49% | Tue 7/1/25 |
|
44
|
7 | 📈43 | $550.80 | 14.35% | $82.50 | 45.32% | Wed 7/2/25 |
|
45
|
8 | 📈44 | $556.22 | 15.48% | $84.81 | 49.39% | Thu 7/3/25 |
|
46
|
7 | 📈45 | $552.03 | 14.61% | $82.92 | 46.06% | Mon 7/7/25 |
|
47
|
7 | 📈46 | $552.34 | 14.67% | $83.03 | 46.26% | Tue 7/8/25 |
|
48
|
7 | 📈47 | $556.25 | 15.48% | $84.75 | 49.29% | Wed 7/9/25 |
|
49
|
7 | 📈48 | $555.45 | 15.32% | $84.36 | 48.60% | Thu 7/10/25 |
|
50
|
7 | 📈49 | $554.20 | 15.06% | $83.72 | 47.47% | Fri 7/11/25 |
|
51
|
7 | 📈50 | $556.21 | 15.47% | $84.61 | 49.04% | Mon 7/14/25 |
|
52
|
7 | 📈51 | $556.72 | 15.58% | $84.83 | 49.43% | Tue 7/15/25 |
|
53
|
7 | 📈52 | $557.29 | 15.70% | $85.07 | 49.85% | Wed 7/16/25 |
|
54
|
7 | 📈53 | $561.80 | 16.63% | $87.05 | 53.34% | Thu 7/17/25 |
|
55
|
7 | 📈54 | $561.26 | 16.52% | $86.75 | 52.81% | Fri 7/18/25 |
|
56
|
7 | 📈55 | $564.17 | 17.13% | $88.07 | 55.13% | Mon 7/21/25 |
|
57
|
7 | 📈56 | $561.25 | 16.52% | $86.70 | 52.72% | Tue 7/22/25 |
|
58
|
7 | 📈57 | $563.81 | 17.05% | $87.84 | 54.73% | Wed 7/23/25 |
|
59
|
7 | 📈58 | $565.01 | 17.30% | $88.42 | 55.75% | Thu 7/24/25 |
|
60
|
7 | 📈59 | $566.37 | 17.58% | $88.92 | 56.63% | Fri 7/25/25 |
|
61
|
7 | 📈60 | $568.14 | 17.95% | $89.79 | 58.16% | Mon 7/28/25 |
|
62
|
7 | 📈61 | $567.26 | 17.77% | $89.38 | 57.44% | Tue 7/29/25 |
|
63
|
7 | 📈62 | $568.02 | 17.92% | $89.69 | 57.99% | Wed 7/30/25 |
|
64
|
6 | 📈63 | $565.01 | 17.30% | $88.21 | 55.38% | Thu 7/31/25 |
|
65
|
5 | 📈64 | $553.88 | 14.99% | $82.92 | 46.06% | Fri 8/1/25 |
|
66
|
7 | 📈65 | $564.10 | 17.11% | $87.46 | 54.06% | Mon 8/4/25 |
|
67
|
6 | 📈66 | $560.27 | 16.32% | $85.64 | 50.85% | Tue 8/5/25 |
|
68
|
7 | 📈67 | $567.32 | 17.78% | $88.84 | 56.49% | Wed 8/6/25 |
|
69
|
7 | 📈68 | $569.24 | 18.18% | $89.74 | 58.08% | Thu 8/7/25 |
|
70
|
7 | 📈69 | $574.55 | 19.28% | $92.16 | 62.34% | Fri 8/8/25 |
|
71
|
7 | 📈70 | $572.85 | 18.93% | $91.35 | 60.91% | Mon 8/11/25 |
|
72
|
7 | 📈71 | $580.05 | 20.42% | $94.72 | 66.85% | Tue 8/12/25 |
|
73
|
7 | 📈72 | $580.34 | 20.48% | $94.86 | 67.10% | Wed 8/13/25 |
|
74
|
7 | 📈73 | $579.89 | 20.39% | $94.60 | 66.64% | Thu 8/14/25 |
|
75
|
7 | 📈74 | $577.34 | 19.86% | $93.26 | 64.28% | Fri 8/15/25 |
|
76
|
7 | 📈75 | $577.11 | 19.81% | $93.14 | 64.07% | Mon 8/18/25 |
|
77
|
6 | 📈76 | $569.28 | 18.19% | $89.34 | 57.37% | Tue 8/19/25 |
|
78
|
5 | 📈77 | $565.90 | 17.48% | $87.71 | 54.50% | Wed 8/20/25 |
|
79
|
5 | 📈78 | $563.28 | 16.94% | $86.49 | 52.35% | Thu 8/21/25 |
|
80
|
6 | 📈79 | $571.97 | 18.74% | $90.38 | 59.20% | Fri 8/22/25 |
|
81
|
6 | 📈80 | $570.32 | 18.40% | $89.59 | 57.81% | Mon 8/25/25 |
|
82
|
6 | 📈81 | $572.61 | 18.88% | $90.63 | 59.64% | Tue 8/26/25 |
|
83
|
7 | 📈82 | $573.49 | 19.06% | $91.04 | 60.37% | Wed 8/27/25 |
|
84
|
7 | 📈83 | $577.08 | 19.81% | $92.70 | 63.29% | Thu 8/28/25 |
|
85
|
5 | 📈84 | $570.40 | 18.42% | $89.36 | 57.41% | Fri 8/29/25 |
|
86
|
5 | 📈85 | $565.62 | 17.43% | $87.08 | 53.39% | Tue 9/2/25 |
|
87
|
6.5 | 📈86 | $570.07 | 18.35% | $89.11 | 56.97% | Wed 9/3/25 |
|
88
|
7 | 📈87 | $575.23 | 19.42% | $91.52 | 61.21% | Thu 9/4/25 |
|
89
|
7 | 📈88 | $576.06 | 19.59% | $91.82 | 61.74% | Fri 9/5/25 |
|
90
|
7 | 📈89 | $578.87 | 20.18% | $93.13 | 64.05% | Mon 9/8/25 |
|
91
|
7 | 📈90 | $580.51 | 20.52% | $93.89 | 65.39% | Tue 9/9/25 |
|
92
|
7 | 📈91 | $580.70 | 20.56% | $93.99 | 65.56% | Wed 9/10/25 |
|
93
|
7 | 📈92 | $584.08 | 21.26% | $95.57 | 68.35% | Thu 9/11/25 |
|
94
|
7 | 📈93 | $586.66 | 21.79% | $96.76 | 70.44% | Fri 9/12/25 |
Market Signal, Trend Count, closing prices, and cumulative return (%) over current uptrend
TQQQ vs QQQ Holdings
TQQQ is outperforming 96% of QQQ holdings since day 📈1 of current uptrend (Thurs. May 1st 2025).
| A | B | C | D | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Market Cap | Symbol | %Chg since 📈1 | Close on 📈1 | Close |
|
2
|
370,974 M | QQQ | 21.79% | $481.68 | $586.66 |
|
3
|
46,718 M | WBD | 123.84% | $8.43 | $18.87 |
|
4
|
196,861 M | APP | 108.24% | $279.49 | $582.00 |
|
5
|
175,960 M | MU | 102.17% | $77.77 | $157.23 |
|
6
|
1,699,438 M | AVGO | 82.37% | $197.33 | $359.87 |
|
7
|
27,132 M | TQQQ | 70.44% | $56.77 | $96.76 |
|
8
|
257,334 M | AMD | 64.07% | $96.65 | $158.57 |
|
9
|
148,027 M | LRCX | 63.06% | $71.73 | $116.96 |
|
10
|
4,329,384 M | NVDA | 59.32% | $111.61 | $177.82 |
|
11
|
2,912,235 M | GOOGL | 49.29% | $161.30 | $240.80 |
|
12
|
2,919,250 M | GOOG | 48.28% | $162.79 | $241.38 |
|
13
|
186,345 M | SHOP | 47.80% | $97.01 | $143.38 |
|
14
|
406,691 M | PLTR | 47.53% | $116.20 | $171.43 |
|
15
|
127,213 M | KLAC | 42.54% | $676.31 | $964.02 |
|
16
|
1,277,084 M | TSLA | 41.15% | $280.52 | $395.94 |
|
17
|
34,917 M | MCHP | 40.71% | $45.98 | $64.70 |
|
18
|
51,294 M | IDXX | 36.01% | $471.38 | $641.14 |
|
19
|
101,057 M | CEG | 34.44% | $240.62 | $323.48 |
|
20
|
1,898,149 M | META | 32.05% | $572.21 | $755.59 |
|
21
|
110,208 M | DASH | 31.49% | $196.20 | $257.98 |
|
22
|
159,568 M | ARM | 30.54% | $115.40 | $150.64 |
|
23
|
45,834 M | BKR | 28.46% | $36.19 | $46.49 |
|
24
|
47,604 M | DDOG | 28.39% | $106.32 | $136.50 |
|
25
|
120,632 M | ADI | 26.57% | $193.74 | $245.21 |
|
26
|
44,829 M | ZS | 24.72% | $227.06 | $283.19 |
|
27
|
320,014 M | ASML | 22.07% | $666.72 | $813.87 |
|
28
|
19,737 M | ON | 21.87% | $39.60 | $48.26 |
|
29
|
59,360 M | AXON | 21.74% | $621.10 | $756.13 |
|
30
|
112,460 M | INTC | 20.52% | $19.98 | $24.08 |
|
31
|
55,168 M | NXPI | 20.34% | $181.84 | $218.82 |
|
32
|
2,433,200 M | AMZN | 19.95% | $190.20 | $228.15 |
|
33
|
3,790,172 M | MSFT | 19.86% | $425.40 | $509.90 |
|
34
|
21,239 M | BIIB | 19.79% | $120.93 | $144.86 |
|
35
|
174,615 M | QCOM | 19.69% | $135.21 | $161.83 |
|
36
|
43,131 M | EA | 18.80% | $145.10 | $172.38 |
|
37
|
178,080 M | PDD | 18.37% | $105.97 | $125.44 |
|
38
|
54,455 M | FAST | 17.58% | $40.35 | $47.45 |
|
39
|
67,957 M | ADSK | 16.66% | $273.49 | $319.05 |
|
40
|
60,533 M | CSX | 15.51% | $28.11 | $32.47 |
|
41
|
166,008 M | TXN | 15.38% | $158.26 | $182.60 |
|
42
|
93,595 M | CDNS | 14.60% | $299.73 | $343.48 |
|
43
|
91,213 M | ORLY | 14.55% | $93.85 | $107.50 |
|
44
|
263,006 M | CSCO | 14.47% | $58.12 | $66.53 |
|
45
|
53,828 M | PCAR | 14.18% | $89.78 | $102.51 |
|
46
|
36,773 M | CSGP | 13.35% | $76.58 | $86.80 |
|
47
|
34,900 M | GEHC | 12.96% | $67.67 | $76.44 |
|
48
|
246,676 M | AZN | 12.84% | $70.51 | $79.56 |
|
49
|
133,677 M | AMAT | 12.65% | $148.96 | $167.80 |
|
50
|
142,134 M | GILD | 10.94% | $103.25 | $114.55 |
|
51
|
58,062 M | MRVL | 10.50% | $60.95 | $67.35 |
|
52
|
3,473,690 M | AAPL | 9.73% | $213.32 | $234.07 |
|
53
|
72,344 M | MAR | 9.24% | $243.95 | $266.50 |
|
54
|
63,165 M | MNST | 8.69% | $59.52 | $64.69 |
|
55
|
29,890 M | DXCM | 8.48% | $70.26 | $76.22 |
|
56
|
226,033 M | LIN | 7.59% | $448.05 | $482.04 |
|
57
|
196,504 M | PEP | 7.47% | $133.55 | $143.53 |
|
58
|
176,904 M | BKNG | 7.00% | $5,101.43 | $5,458.32 |
|
59
|
48,374 M | ROST | 6.46% | $138.93 | $147.90 |
|
60
|
131,298 M | PANW | 5.38% | $186.27 | $196.29 |
|
61
|
504,999 M | NFLX | 4.85% | $1,133.47 | $1,188.44 |
|
62
|
45,428 M | TTWO | 4.72% | $235.17 | $246.26 |
|
63
|
43,381 M | XEL | 4.19% | $70.40 | $73.35 |
|
64
|
180,116 M | INTU | 3.67% | $623.19 | $646.03 |
|
65
|
63,905 M | PYPL | 2.26% | $65.41 | $66.89 |
|
66
|
118,599 M | MELI | 1.95% | $2,294.52 | $2,339.36 |
|
67
|
58,539 M | AEP | 1.79% | $107.54 | $109.46 |
|
68
|
39,625 M | FANG | 1.52% | $134.83 | $136.88 |
|
69
|
21,532 M | CDW | 1.16% | $162.40 | $164.29 |
|
70
|
109,442 M | CRWD | 0.98% | $431.88 | $436.10 |
|
71
|
134,255 M | HON | 0.34% | $210.74 | $211.46 |
|
72
|
40,742 M | CCEP | 0.19% | $89.54 | $89.71 |
|
73
|
93,096 M | SBUX | -0.13% | $82.01 | $81.90 |
|
74
|
75,029 M | ABNB | -1.18% | $124.01 | $122.55 |
|
75
|
118,880 M | ADP | -1.74% | $298.69 | $293.50 |
|
76
|
272,036 M | TMUS | -2.14% | $247.00 | $241.72 |
|
77
|
122,064 M | CMCSA | -2.25% | $33.82 | $33.06 |
|
78
|
148,798 M | AMGN | -2.60% | $283.78 | $276.39 |
|
79
|
429,241 M | COST | -3.12% | $999.04 | $967.90 |
|
80
|
81,551 M | CTAS | -3.43% | $209.55 | $202.37 |
|
81
|
30,451 M | ODFL | -3.77% | $150.56 | $144.89 |
|
82
|
59,353 M | REGN | -5.08% | $590.00 | $560.00 |
|
83
|
148,199 M | ADBE | -6.75% | $374.63 | $349.36 |
|
84
|
77,964 M | TRI | -6.86% | $185.74 | $172.99 |
|
85
|
43,813 M | EXC | -6.91% | $46.60 | $43.38 |
|
86
|
79,027 M | SNPS | -7.38% | $459.36 | $425.45 |
|
87
|
48,587 M | PAYX | -7.84% | $146.61 | $135.11 |
|
88
|
33,782 M | CTSH | -8.06% | $75.23 | $69.17 |
|
89
|
55,155 M | ROP | -8.08% | $557.59 | $512.53 |
|
90
|
30,927 M | KHC | -8.32% | $28.50 | $26.13 |
|
91
|
80,199 M | MDLZ | -8.68% | $67.87 | $61.98 |
|
92
|
59,645 M | WDAY | -9.42% | $246.61 | $223.39 |
|
93
|
17,576 M | GFS | -9.98% | $35.18 | $31.67 |
|
94
|
36,633 M | VRSK | -10.97% | $294.51 | $262.20 |
|
95
|
161,200 M | ISRG | -13.05% | $517.18 | $449.68 |
|
96
|
93,981 M | MSTR | -13.14% | $381.60 | $331.44 |
|
97
|
22,076 M | TTD | -14.91% | $53.06 | $45.15 |
|
98
|
46,800 M | CPRT | -20.00% | $60.50 | $48.40 |
|
99
|
36,990 M | KDP | -20.01% | $34.04 | $27.23 |
|
100
|
101,154 M | VRTX | -20.91% | $498.86 | $394.53 |
|
101
|
61,056 M | FTNT | -23.54% | $104.21 | $79.68 |
|
102
|
45,874 M | TEAM | -23.66% | $229.07 | $174.87 |
|
103
|
35,978 M | CHTR | -31.23% | $383.00 | $263.40 |
|
104
|
18,957 M | LULU | -40.48% | $268.60 | $159.87 |
Assuming 3% for the risk-free rate, the Sharpe Ratio for this investment is 3.70.
For a TQQQ position opened at close on day 📈1 of current uptrend (Thurs. May 1st 2025):
- Up +40% or more for a majority of the time (54 of 93 days, or 58.06% of the uptrend)
- In the red (-0.05%) for just 1 day, or 1.07% of the time