Aug. 22nd 2025
Market Signal: +6 MODERATE BULLISH
The NASDAQ-100 (QQQ) bounced up strongly to end the week, but the last 17 days saw the Market Signal blip out of STRONG BULLISH range into MODERATE BULLISH range twice.

STRONG BULLISH range into MODERATE BULLISH twice in past 16 daysVolatility is also increasing; the Sharpe Ratio for this investment has declined to 3.48.
Caution is advised if the Market Signal continues to wane.
NASDAQ-100 52-week highs
The following NASDAQ-100 (QQQ) holdings closed at a 52-week high today:
ADI $252.20 +2.13%FAST $50.39 +2.54%XEL $74.26 +1.50%
π79th day of uptrend
Day π1 of current uptrend occurred on Thurs. May 1st 2025.
QQQ+18.74% since start of current uptrendTQQQ+59.20% since start of current uptrend
| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Market Signal | Trend Count | QQQ Close | QQQ %chg since π1 | TQQQ close | TQQQ %chg since π1 | Date |
|
2
|
2 | π1 | $481.68 | 0.00% | $56.77 | 0.00% | Thu 5/1/25 |
|
3
|
2 | π2 | $488.83 | 1.48% | $59.43 | 4.69% | Fri 5/2/25 |
|
4
|
2 | π3 | $485.93 | 0.88% | $58.40 | 2.87% | Mon 5/5/25 |
|
5
|
2 | π4 | $481.41 | -0.06% | $56.74 | -0.05% | Tue 5/6/25 |
|
6
|
2 | π5 | $483.30 | 0.34% | $57.40 | 1.11% | Wed 5/7/25 |
|
7
|
2 | π6 | $488.29 | 1.37% | $59.11 | 4.12% | Thu 5/8/25 |
|
8
|
2 | π7 | $487.97 | 1.31% | $58.97 | 3.88% | Fri 5/9/25 |
|
9
|
3 | π8 | $507.85 | 5.43% | $66.11 | 16.45% | Mon 5/12/25 |
|
10
|
3 | π9 | $515.59 | 7.04% | $69.14 | 21.79% | Tue 5/13/25 |
|
11
|
3 | π10 | $518.68 | 7.68% | $70.36 | 23.94% | Wed 5/14/25 |
|
12
|
3 | π11 | $519.25 | 7.80% | $70.58 | 24.33% | Thu 5/15/25 |
|
13
|
3 | π12 | $521.51 | 8.27% | $71.45 | 25.86% | Fri 5/16/25 |
|
14
|
3 | π13 | $522.01 | 8.37% | $71.64 | 26.19% | Mon 5/19/25 |
|
15
|
3 | π14 | $520.27 | 8.01% | $70.89 | 24.87% | Tue 5/20/25 |
|
16
|
3 | π15 | $513.04 | 6.51% | $67.94 | 19.68% | Wed 5/21/25 |
|
17
|
2 | π16 | $514.00 | 6.71% | $68.29 | 20.29% | Thu 5/22/25 |
|
18
|
2 | π17 | $509.24 | 5.72% | $66.32 | 16.82% | Fri 5/23/25 |
|
19
|
4 | π18 | $521.22 | 8.21% | $70.94 | 24.96% | Tue 5/27/25 |
|
20
|
3 | π19 | $518.91 | 7.73% | $70.03 | 23.36% | Wed 5/28/25 |
|
21
|
3 | π20 | $519.93 | 7.94% | $70.37 | 23.96% | Thu 5/29/25 |
|
22
|
3 | π21 | $519.11 | 7.77% | $70.00 | 23.30% | Fri 5/30/25 |
|
23
|
4 | π22 | $523.21 | 8.62% | $71.61 | 26.14% | Mon 6/2/25 |
|
24
|
4 | π23 | $527.30 | 9.47% | $73.28 | 29.08% | Tue 6/3/25 |
|
25
|
3 | π24 | $528.77 | 9.78% | $73.87 | 30.12% | Wed 6/4/25 |
|
26
|
3 | π25 | $524.79 | 8.95% | $72.15 | 27.09% | Thu 6/5/25 |
|
27
|
4 | π26 | $529.92 | 10.01% | $74.21 | 30.72% | Fri 6/6/25 |
|
28
|
3 | π27 | $530.70 | 10.18% | $74.54 | 31.30% | Mon 6/9/25 |
|
29
|
3 | π28 | $534.21 | 10.91% | $75.98 | 33.84% | Tue 6/10/25 |
|
30
|
3 | π29 | $532.41 | 10.53% | $75.20 | 32.46% | Wed 6/11/25 |
|
31
|
3 | π30 | $533.66 | 10.79% | $75.69 | 33.33% | Thu 6/12/25 |
|
32
|
2 | π31 | $526.96 | 9.40% | $72.83 | 28.29% | Fri 6/13/25 |
|
33
|
3 | π32 | $534.29 | 10.92% | $75.80 | 33.52% | Mon 6/16/25 |
|
34
|
2 | π33 | $529.08 | 9.84% | $73.56 | 29.58% | Tue 6/17/25 |
|
35
|
2 | π34 | $528.99 | 9.82% | $73.46 | 29.40% | Wed 6/18/25 |
|
36
|
2 | π35 | $526.83 | 9.37% | $72.45 | 27.62% | Fri 6/20/25 |
|
37
|
7 | π36 | $531.65 | 10.37% | $74.70 | 31.58% | Mon 6/23/25 |
|
38
|
7 | π37 | $539.78 | 12.06% | $78.10 | 37.57% | Tue 6/24/25 |
|
39
|
7 | π38 | $541.16 | 12.35% | $78.48 | 38.24% | Wed 6/25/25 |
|
40
|
8 | π39 | $546.22 | 13.40% | $80.63 | 42.03% | Thu 6/26/25 |
|
41
|
7 | π40 | $548.09 | 13.79% | $81.42 | 43.42% | Fri 6/27/25 |
|
42
|
8 | π41 | $551.64 | 14.52% | $83.00 | 46.20% | Mon 6/30/25 |
|
43
|
7 | π42 | $546.99 | 13.56% | $80.89 | 42.49% | Tue 7/1/25 |
|
44
|
7 | π43 | $550.80 | 14.35% | $82.50 | 45.32% | Wed 7/2/25 |
|
45
|
8 | π44 | $556.22 | 15.48% | $84.81 | 49.39% | Thu 7/3/25 |
|
46
|
7 | π45 | $552.03 | 14.61% | $82.92 | 46.06% | Mon 7/7/25 |
|
47
|
7 | π46 | $552.34 | 14.67% | $83.03 | 46.26% | Tue 7/8/25 |
|
48
|
7 | π47 | $556.25 | 15.48% | $84.75 | 49.29% | Wed 7/9/25 |
|
49
|
7 | π48 | $555.45 | 15.32% | $84.36 | 48.60% | Thu 7/10/25 |
|
50
|
7 | π49 | $554.20 | 15.06% | $83.72 | 47.47% | Fri 7/11/25 |
|
51
|
7 | π50 | $556.21 | 15.47% | $84.61 | 49.04% | Mon 7/14/25 |
|
52
|
7 | π51 | $556.72 | 15.58% | $84.83 | 49.43% | Tue 7/15/25 |
|
53
|
7 | π52 | $557.29 | 15.70% | $85.07 | 49.85% | Wed 7/16/25 |
|
54
|
7 | π53 | $561.80 | 16.63% | $87.05 | 53.34% | Thu 7/17/25 |
|
55
|
7 | π54 | $561.26 | 16.52% | $86.75 | 52.81% | Fri 7/18/25 |
|
56
|
7 | π55 | $564.17 | 17.13% | $88.07 | 55.13% | Mon 7/21/25 |
|
57
|
7 | π56 | $561.25 | 16.52% | $86.70 | 52.72% | Tue 7/22/25 |
|
58
|
7 | π57 | $563.81 | 17.05% | $87.84 | 54.73% | Wed 7/23/25 |
|
59
|
7 | π58 | $565.01 | 17.30% | $88.42 | 55.75% | Thu 7/24/25 |
|
60
|
7 | π59 | $566.37 | 17.58% | $88.92 | 56.63% | Fri 7/25/25 |
|
61
|
7 | π60 | $568.14 | 17.95% | $89.79 | 58.16% | Mon 7/28/25 |
|
62
|
7 | π61 | $567.26 | 17.77% | $89.38 | 57.44% | Tue 7/29/25 |
|
63
|
7 | π62 | $568.02 | 17.92% | $89.69 | 57.99% | Wed 7/30/25 |
|
64
|
6 | π63 | $565.01 | 17.30% | $88.21 | 55.38% | Thu 7/31/25 |
|
65
|
5 | π64 | $553.88 | 14.99% | $82.92 | 46.06% | Fri 8/1/25 |
|
66
|
7 | π65 | $564.10 | 17.11% | $87.46 | 54.06% | Mon 8/4/25 |
|
67
|
6 | π66 | $560.27 | 16.32% | $85.64 | 50.85% | Tue 8/5/25 |
|
68
|
7 | π67 | $567.32 | 17.78% | $88.84 | 56.49% | Wed 8/6/25 |
|
69
|
7 | π68 | $569.24 | 18.18% | $89.74 | 58.08% | Thu 8/7/25 |
|
70
|
7 | π69 | $574.55 | 19.28% | $92.16 | 62.34% | Fri 8/8/25 |
|
71
|
7 | π70 | $572.85 | 18.93% | $91.35 | 60.91% | Mon 8/11/25 |
|
72
|
7 | π71 | $580.05 | 20.42% | $94.72 | 66.85% | Tue 8/12/25 |
|
73
|
7 | π72 | $580.34 | 20.48% | $94.86 | 67.10% | Wed 8/13/25 |
|
74
|
7 | π73 | $579.89 | 20.39% | $94.60 | 66.64% | Thu 8/14/25 |
|
75
|
7 | π74 | $577.34 | 19.86% | $93.26 | 64.28% | Fri 8/15/25 |
|
76
|
7 | π75 | $577.11 | 19.81% | $93.14 | 64.07% | Mon 8/18/25 |
|
77
|
6 | π76 | $569.28 | 18.19% | $89.34 | 57.37% | Tue 8/19/25 |
|
78
|
5 | π77 | $565.90 | 17.48% | $87.71 | 54.50% | Wed 8/20/25 |
|
79
|
5 | π78 | $563.28 | 16.94% | $86.49 | 52.35% | Thu 8/21/25 |
|
80
|
6 | π79 | $571.97 | 18.74% | $90.38 | 59.20% | Fri 8/22/25 |
Market Signal, Trend Count, closing prices, and cumulative return (%) over current uptrend
TQQQ vs QQQ Holdings
TQQQ is outperforming 98% of QQQ holdings since day π1 of current uptrend (Thurs. May 1st 2025).
Only AMD and NVDA have outperformed TQQQ in this time.
There is just a 2% chance of having picked NASDAQ-100 stocks that have outperformed TQQQ during he current uptrend.
| A | B | C | D | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Market Cap | Symbol | %Chg since π1 | Close on π1 | Close |
|
2
|
369,464 M | QQQ | 18.74% | $481.68 | $571.97 |
|
3
|
272,248 M | AMD | 73.57% | $96.65 | $167.76 |
|
4
|
4,340,741 M | NVDA | 59.47% | $111.61 | $177.99 |
|
5
|
25,885 M | TQQQ | 59.20% | $56.77 | $90.38 |
|
6
|
149,398 M | APP | 58.03% | $279.49 | $441.68 |
|
7
|
131,699 M | MU | 51.32% | $77.77 | $117.68 |
|
8
|
37,313 M | MCHP | 50.37% | $45.98 | $69.14 |
|
9
|
1,382,820 M | AVGO | 48.99% | $197.33 | $294.00 |
|
10
|
29,833 M | WBD | 42.94% | $8.43 | $12.05 |
|
11
|
126,663 M | LRCX | 39.52% | $71.73 | $100.08 |
|
12
|
51,647 M | IDXX | 36.95% | $471.38 | $645.55 |
|
13
|
376,586 M | PLTR | 36.61% | $116.20 | $158.74 |
|
14
|
112,233 M | SNPS | 32.04% | $459.36 | $606.52 |
|
15
|
1,896,139 M | META | 31.91% | $572.21 | $754.79 |
|
16
|
21,205 M | ON | 30.93% | $39.60 | $51.85 |
|
17
|
187,337 M | TXN | 30.20% | $158.26 | $206.06 |
|
18
|
124,071 M | ADI | 30.17% | $193.74 | $252.20 |
|
19
|
59,204 M | NXPI | 29.14% | $181.84 | $234.83 |
|
20
|
96,896 M | CEG | 28.90% | $240.62 | $310.16 |
|
21
|
114,843 M | KLAC | 28.68% | $676.31 | $870.28 |
|
22
|
2,492,452 M | GOOGL | 27.77% | $161.30 | $206.09 |
|
23
|
17,900 M | MDB | 27.22% | $172.19 | $219.06 |
|
24
|
2,500,072 M | GOOG | 26.99% | $162.79 | $206.72 |
|
25
|
105,654 M | DASH | 26.06% | $196.20 | $247.32 |
|
26
|
57,829 M | FAST | 24.87% | $40.35 | $50.39 |
|
27
|
108,550 M | INTC | 24.12% | $19.98 | $24.80 |
|
28
|
44,128 M | BKR | 23.68% | $36.19 | $44.76 |
|
29
|
45,762 M | DDOG | 23.42% | $106.32 | $131.22 |
|
30
|
60,153 M | AXON | 23.37% | $621.10 | $766.24 |
|
31
|
64,467 M | CSX | 23.02% | $28.11 | $34.58 |
|
32
|
1,096,685 M | TSLA | 21.21% | $280.52 | $340.01 |
|
33
|
2,440,558 M | AMZN | 20.32% | $190.20 | $228.84 |
|
34
|
42,429 M | ZS | 20.02% | $227.06 | $272.52 |
|
35
|
180,451 M | PDD | 19.95% | $105.97 | $127.11 |
|
36
|
62,941 M | MRVL | 19.77% | $60.95 | $73.00 |
|
37
|
146,094 M | ARM | 19.51% | $115.40 | $137.92 |
|
38
|
3,770,325 M | MSFT | 19.24% | $425.40 | $507.23 |
|
39
|
38,645 M | CSGP | 19.12% | $76.58 | $91.22 |
|
40
|
42,886 M | EA | 18.13% | $145.10 | $171.40 |
|
41
|
32,259 M | DXCM | 17.08% | $70.26 | $82.26 |
|
42
|
32,907 M | ANSS | 17.07% | $319.73 | $374.30 |
|
43
|
170,493 M | QCOM | 16.86% | $135.21 | $158.01 |
|
44
|
95,271 M | CDNS | 16.65% | $299.73 | $349.63 |
|
45
|
266,587 M | CSCO | 15.83% | $58.12 | $67.32 |
|
46
|
20,425 M | BIIB | 15.20% | $120.93 | $139.31 |
|
47
|
251,046 M | AZN | 14.83% | $70.51 | $80.97 |
|
48
|
296,823 M | ASML | 13.22% | $666.72 | $754.89 |
|
49
|
53,298 M | PCAR | 13.05% | $89.78 | $101.50 |
|
50
|
74,331 M | MAR | 12.24% | $243.95 | $273.82 |
|
51
|
185,413 M | BKNG | 12.14% | $5,101.43 | $5,720.87 |
|
52
|
204,869 M | PEP | 12.05% | $133.55 | $149.64 |
|
53
|
142,407 M | GILD | 11.16% | $103.25 | $114.77 |
|
54
|
34,343 M | GEHC | 11.16% | $67.67 | $75.22 |
|
55
|
130,398 M | AMAT | 9.08% | $148.96 | $162.49 |
|
56
|
86,810 M | ORLY | 9.02% | $93.85 | $102.31 |
|
57
|
100,462 M | SBUX | 7.77% | $82.01 | $88.38 |
|
58
|
225,860 M | LIN | 7.50% | $448.05 | $481.67 |
|
59
|
66,781 M | PYPL | 6.86% | $65.41 | $69.90 |
|
60
|
3,380,047 M | AAPL | 6.77% | $213.32 | $227.76 |
|
61
|
184,847 M | INTU | 6.33% | $623.19 | $662.66 |
|
62
|
511,888 M | NFLX | 6.28% | $1,133.47 | $1,204.65 |
|
63
|
41,478 M | FANG | 6.27% | $134.83 | $143.28 |
|
64
|
62,093 M | ADSK | 6.12% | $273.49 | $290.23 |
|
65
|
60,977 M | AEP | 6.03% | $107.54 | $114.02 |
|
66
|
48,161 M | ROST | 5.99% | $138.93 | $147.25 |
|
67
|
123,226 M | MELI | 5.93% | $2,294.52 | $2,430.62 |
|
68
|
141,474 M | HON | 5.74% | $210.74 | $222.83 |
|
69
|
33,443 M | ODFL | 5.69% | $150.56 | $159.13 |
|
70
|
61,359 M | MNST | 5.58% | $59.52 | $62.84 |
|
71
|
43,919 M | XEL | 5.48% | $70.40 | $74.26 |
|
72
|
79,542 M | ABNB | 4.77% | $124.01 | $129.92 |
|
73
|
158,128 M | AMGN | 3.50% | $283.78 | $293.72 |
|
74
|
47,729 M | KDP | 3.22% | $34.04 | $35.14 |
|
75
|
124,733 M | ADP | 3.10% | $298.69 | $307.95 |
|
76
|
86,878 M | CTAS | 2.88% | $209.55 | $215.59 |
|
77
|
21,887 M | CDW | 2.83% | $162.40 | $167.00 |
|
78
|
283,549 M | TMUS | 2.00% | $247.00 | $251.95 |
|
79
|
126,089 M | CMCSA | 0.98% | $33.82 | $34.15 |
|
80
|
41,102 M | CCEP | 0.89% | $89.54 | $90.34 |
|
81
|
26,012 M | TTD | 0.26% | $53.06 | $53.20 |
|
82
|
62,477 M | REGN | -0.09% | $590.00 | $589.48 |
|
83
|
124,156 M | PANW | -0.21% | $186.27 | $185.88 |
|
84
|
33,212 M | KHC | -1.54% | $28.50 | $28.06 |
|
85
|
19,141 M | GFS | -1.96% | $35.18 | $34.49 |
|
86
|
42,249 M | TTWO | -2.61% | $235.17 | $229.03 |
|
87
|
104,821 M | CRWD | -2.62% | $431.88 | $420.55 |
|
88
|
153,599 M | ADBE | -3.35% | $374.63 | $362.09 |
|
89
|
45,409 M | EXC | -3.52% | $46.60 | $44.96 |
|
90
|
57,771 M | ROP | -3.72% | $557.59 | $536.84 |
|
91
|
35,345 M | CTSH | -3.80% | $75.23 | $72.37 |
|
92
|
50,726 M | PAYX | -3.96% | $146.61 | $140.81 |
|
93
|
425,091 M | COST | -4.05% | $999.04 | $958.54 |
|
94
|
101,549 M | MSTR | -6.15% | $381.60 | $358.13 |
|
95
|
82,049 M | MDLZ | -6.57% | $67.87 | $63.41 |
|
96
|
170,692 M | ISRG | -7.93% | $517.18 | $476.16 |
|
97
|
37,871 M | VRSK | -7.96% | $294.51 | $271.06 |
|
98
|
58,990 M | WDAY | -10.28% | $246.61 | $221.27 |
|
99
|
47,341 M | CPRT | -19.07% | $60.50 | $48.96 |
|
100
|
101,305 M | VRTX | -20.80% | $498.86 | $395.12 |
|
101
|
24,879 M | LULU | -22.71% | $268.60 | $207.59 |
|
102
|
61,317 M | FTNT | -23.21% | $104.21 | $80.02 |
|
103
|
44,804 M | TEAM | -25.44% | $229.07 | $170.79 |
|
104
|
37,915 M | CHTR | -27.52% | $383.00 | $277.58 |

Assuming 3% for the risk-free rate, the Sharpe Ratio for this investment is 3.48.

For 26 out of 79 days, or 32.91% of the current uptrend, this position was up over +50%.