Jan. 31st 2025

DeepSeek tremors

Market Signal+4 MODERATE BULLISH

DeepSeek dominated headlines and sent the market reeling at the start of this week.

On Monday January 27 2025 QQQ and TQQQ were down -2.91% and -8.77% respectively, and the Market Signal flashed negative coming in at -1 WEAK BULLISH. A downtrend did not ensue, as the next day QQQ made up ground and the Market Signal was +5 MODERATE BULLISH (a new downtrend calls for consecutive days of negative Market Signal values).

The Market Signal was MODERATE BULLISH for the remainder of the week, ending at +4 with two of the Magnificent Seven closing at 52-week highs.

NASDAQ-100 52-week highs

The following NASDAQ-100 (QQQ) holdings closed at a 52-week high today:

  • GOOG $205.60 +1.47%
  • GOOGL $204.02 +1.57%
  • META $689.18 +0.32%
  • PLTR $82.49 +1.56%
  • TEAM $306.78 +14.92%
  • DASH $188.83 +0.14%

Monday's downward action is largely due to QQQ's concentration in tech stocks, particularly the Magnificent Seven, all of which are heavily invested in AI.

However, Monday's action was far from the worst day for the index. In fact, the selloff on December 18 2024 (33 trading days ago) was worse (TQQQ was -10.81%).

The Nasdaq-100 last fell more than 4% in September 2022,

Source: WSJ How Unusual Is a 4% Nasdaq Selloff?

πŸ“ˆ10th day of uptrend

Day πŸ“ˆ1 of current uptrend occurred on Jan 17 2025.

  • QQQ +0.11% since start of current uptrend
  • TQQQ -0.51% since start of current uptrend
A B C D E F G
1
Market Signal Trend Count QQQ Close QQQ %chg since πŸ“ˆ1 TQQQ close TQQQ %chg since πŸ“ˆ1 Date
2
1 πŸ“ˆ1 $521.74 0.00% $83.14 0.00% Fri 1/17/25
3
1 πŸ“ˆ2 $524.80 0.59% $84.54 1.68% Tue 1/21/25
4
1 πŸ“ˆ3 $531.51 1.87% $87.80 5.61% Wed 1/22/25
5
1 πŸ“ˆ4 $532.64 2.09% $88.34 6.25% Thu 1/23/25
6
1 πŸ“ˆ5 $529.63 1.51% $86.75 4.34% Fri 1/24/25
7
-2 πŸ“ˆ6* $514.21 -1.44% $79.14 -4.81% Mon 1/27/25
8
5 πŸ“ˆ7 $521.81 0.01% $82.65 -0.59% Tue 1/28/25
9
4 πŸ“ˆ8 $520.83 -0.17% $82.14 -1.20% Wed 1/29/25
10
4 πŸ“ˆ9 $523.05 0.25% $83.17 0.04% Thu 1/30/25
11
4 πŸ“ˆ10 $522.29 0.11% $82.72 -0.51% Fri 1/31/25

Market Signal, Trend Count, closing prices, and return (%) over current uptrend.

*Uptrend persists, as a new downtrend calls for consecutive days of negative Market Signal values, which did not occur.


TQQQ vs QQQ Holdings

TQQQ is outperforming 32% of QQQ holdings since day πŸ“ˆ1 of current uptrend (Jan 17 2025).

A B C D E
1
Market Cap Symbol %Chg since πŸ“ˆ1 Close on πŸ“ˆ1 Close
2
189,461 M QQQ 0.11% $521.74 $522.29
3
79,896 M TEAM 21.56% $252.36 $306.78
4
187,914 M PLTR 14.94% $71.77 $82.49
5
417,816 M NFLX 13.83% $858.10 $976.76
6
122,317 M SBUX 13.19% $95.13 $107.68
7
1,746,147 M META 12.47% $612.77 $689.18
8
98,049 M CRWD 11.50% $357.00 $398.07
9
50,443 M LULU 10.84% $373.70 $414.20
10
61,726 M ROP 10.21% $522.32 $575.65
11
49,732 M AXON 9.81% $593.89 $652.18
12
25,611 M WBD 9.66% $9.52 $10.44
13
118,896 M VRTX 9.40% $422.00 $461.68
14
78,439 M DASH 8.22% $174.48 $188.83
15
31,085 M ZS 8.00% $187.58 $202.59
16
21,902 M MDB 7.98% $253.11 $273.32
17
124,031 M APP 7.96% $342.34 $369.59
18
77,320 M FTNT 7.06% $94.23 $100.88
19
167,687 M ARM 6.89% $149.26 $159.55
20
67,096 M ADSK 6.82% $291.45 $311.34
21
266,653 M TMUS 6.39% $218.97 $232.97
22
74,728 M ORLY 6.38% $1,216.79 $1,294.42
23
219,433 M AZN 6.25% $66.60 $70.76
24
40,960 M CTSH 6.17% $77.81 $82.61
25
155,417 M PDD 6.01% $105.57 $111.91
26
121,137 M GILD 5.84% $91.84 $97.20
27
26,538 M CDW 5.52% $188.73 $199.14
28
2,499,208 M AMZN 5.20% $225.94 $237.68
29
191,155 M QCOM 5.09% $164.56 $172.93
30
69,708 M WDAY 4.98% $249.64 $262.06
31
153,423 M AMGN 4.89% $272.11 $285.42
32
80,753 M MAR 4.84% $277.18 $290.59
33
97,450 M MELI 4.69% $1,836.00 $1,922.19
34
40,342 M GEHC 4.20% $84.74 $88.30
35
121,016 M PANW 4.13% $177.11 $184.42
36
2,497,409 M GOOGL 4.09% $196.00 $204.02
37
2,516,750 M GOOG 4.07% $197.55 $205.60
38
434,968 M COST 3.89% $943.19 $979.88
39
31,403 M CSGP 3.72% $73.85 $76.60
40
40,590 M VRSK 3.19% $278.55 $287.44
41
48,482 M DDOG 3.11% $138.40 $142.71
42
33,915 M DXCM 2.90% $84.38 $86.83
43
3,545,209 M AAPL 2.62% $229.98 $236.00
44
20,973 M BIIB 2.40% $140.55 $143.93
45
212,424 M LIN 2.32% $436.00 $446.12
46
123,286 M ADP 2.31% $296.18 $303.01
47
36,082 M KHC 1.95% $29.27 $29.84
48
36,207 M CCEP 1.92% $77.07 $78.55
49
55,817 M CPRT 1.81% $56.90 $57.93
50
190,426 M ADBE 1.73% $429.99 $437.45
51
206,745 M PEP 1.65% $148.25 $150.69
52
43,542 M KDP 1.52% $31.62 $32.10
53
40,193 M EXC 1.47% $39.42 $40.00
54
52,383 M AEP 1.14% $97.25 $98.36
55
80,939 M CTAS 1.14% $198.31 $200.57
56
49,674 M ROST 0.95% $149.15 $150.56
57
53,171 M PAYX 0.94% $146.29 $147.67
58
104,146 M LRCX 0.93% $80.30 $81.05
59
38,589 M XEL 0.72% $66.72 $67.20
60
34,559 M IDXX 0.67% $419.26 $422.05
61
241,355 M CSCO 0.61% $60.23 $60.60
62
145,473 M HON 0.51% $222.58 $223.72
63
58,145 M PCAR 0.50% $110.33 $110.88
64
63,387 M CSX 0.43% $32.73 $32.87
65
77,544 M MDLZ 0.22% $57.86 $57.99
66
30,651 M ANSS 0.16% $349.93 $350.50
67
81,228 M SNPS -0.23% $526.70 $525.48
68
168,373 M INTU -0.43% $604.13 $601.51
69
32,581 M TTWO -0.48% $186.41 $185.51
70
42,179 M TQQQ -0.51% $83.14 $82.72
71
45,696 M BKR -0.77% $46.54 $46.18
72
73,953 M REGN -1.26% $681.58 $672.98
73
47,371 M MNST -1.44% $49.42 $48.71
74
49,042 M CHTR -1.67% $351.37 $345.49
75
39,627 M ODFL -2.08% $189.55 $185.61
76
290,697 M ASML -2.25% $756.33 $739.31
77
98,747 M KLAC -2.54% $757.47 $738.24
78
81,626 M CDNS -2.61% $305.60 $297.62
79
81,951 M ABNB -2.92% $135.12 $131.17
80
53,004 M NXPI -3.16% $215.36 $208.55
81
3,085,549 M MSFT -3.26% $429.03 $415.06
82
105,128 M ADI -3.32% $219.16 $211.89
83
203,692 M ISRG -3.50% $592.64 $571.88
84
88,805 M PYPL -3.52% $91.81 $88.58
85
41,990 M FAST -3.73% $76.08 $73.24
86
22,919 M GFS -3.78% $43.10 $41.47
87
156,798 M BKNG -3.84% $4,926.80 $4,737.56
88
168,404 M TXN -4.06% $192.42 $184.61
89
22,286 M ON -4.19% $54.63 $52.34
90
188,165 M AMD -4.54% $121.46 $115.95
91
58,577 M TTD -4.61% $124.42 $118.68
92
1,301,403 M TSLA -5.13% $426.50 $404.60
93
93,845 M CEG -5.18% $316.36 $299.98
94
146,571 M AMAT -6.09% $192.05 $180.35
95
29,160 M MCHP -6.33% $57.97 $54.30
96
1,037,171 M AVGO -6.81% $237.44 $221.27
97
128,801 M CMCSA -7.98% $36.58 $33.66
98
47,991 M FANG -8.78% $180.18 $164.36
99
97,658 M MRVL -9.54% $124.76 $112.86
100
84,132 M INTC -9.59% $21.49 $19.43
101
2,940,514 M NVDA -12.81% $137.71 $120.07
102
32,236 M EA -13.44% $142.00 $122.91
103
101,657 M MU -13.72% $105.75 $91.24
104
84,484 M MSTR -15.56% $396.50 $334.79

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