Wed. Jan. 8th 2025
Uptrend ends, downtrend begins 📉
Market Signal: -2 WEAK BEARISH
January 8th's Market Signal value of -2 is the first negative value after 100 consecutive days of positive values (Aug. 15th 2024 through Jan. 7th 2025).
This marks the end of the uptrend and the first day of a new downtrend.
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Investing in
Investing in
TQQQ per Raincheck Fund's Market Signal over the uptrend that just ended outperformed 7 in 10 NASDAQ-100 stocks, and outperformed QQQ by more than 2x.📈100 day uptrend concludes
Had one opened a position in QQQ or TQQQ after market close on the first day of the uptrend (Aug. 15th 2024) and held until the uptrend ended (Jan. 8th 2025) the returns would be as follows:
QQQ+8.61%TQQQ+17.85%
The table below shows the QQQ chart over this time frame, as well as the returns of QQQ and TQQQ after market close each day.
| A | B | C | D | E | F | G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Market Signal | Trend Count | QQQ Close | QQQ %chg since 📈1 | TQQQ close | TQQQ %chg since 📈1 | Date |
|
2
|
1 | 📈1 | $474.42 | 0.00% | $68.46 | 0.00% | Thu 8/15/24 |
|
3
|
3 | 📈2 | $475.02 | 0.13% | $68.64 | 0.26% | Fri 8/16/24 |
|
4
|
4 | 📈3 | $481.27 | 1.44% | $71.30 | 4.15% | Mon 8/19/24 |
|
5
|
3 | 📈4 | $480.26 | 1.23% | $70.86 | 3.51% | Tue 8/20/24 |
|
6
|
3 | 📈5 | $482.50 | 1.70% | $71.83 | 4.92% | Wed 8/21/24 |
|
7
|
7 | 📈6 | $474.85 | 0.09% | $68.38 | -0.12% | Thu 8/22/24 |
|
8
|
8 | 📈7 | $480.00 | 1.18% | $70.53 | 3.02% | Fri 8/23/24 |
|
9
|
7 | 📈8 | $475.34 | 0.19% | $68.46 | 0.00% | Mon 8/26/24 |
|
10
|
8 | 📈9 | $476.76 | 0.49% | $69.04 | 0.85% | Tue 8/27/24 |
|
11
|
5 | 📈10 | $471.35 | -0.65% | $66.70 | -2.57% | Wed 8/28/24 |
|
12
|
5 | 📈11 | $470.66 | -0.79% | $66.35 | -3.08% | Thu 8/29/24 |
|
13
|
7 | 📈12 | $476.27 | 0.39% | $68.61 | 0.22% | Fri 8/30/24 |
|
14
|
4 | 📈13 | $461.81 | -2.66% | $62.35 | -8.92% | Tue 9/3/24 |
|
15
|
2 | 📈14 | $460.61 | -2.91% | $61.82 | -9.70% | Wed 9/4/24 |
|
16
|
2 | 📈15 | $461.04 | -2.82% | $62.02 | -9.41% | Thu 9/5/24 |
|
17
|
1 | 📈16 | $448.69 | -5.42% | $56.99 | -16.75% | Fri 9/6/24 |
|
18
|
1 | 📈17 | $454.46 | -4.21% | $59.11 | -13.66% | Mon 9/9/24 |
|
19
|
1 | 📈18 | $458.66 | -3.32% | $60.70 | -11.34% | Tue 9/10/24 |
|
20
|
1 | 📈19 | $468.62 | -1.22% | $64.57 | -5.68% | Wed 9/11/24 |
|
21
|
5 | 📈20 | $473.22 | -0.25% | $66.48 | -2.89% | Thu 9/12/24 |
|
22
|
5 | 📈21 | $475.34 | 0.19% | $67.35 | -1.62% | Fri 9/13/24 |
|
23
|
1 | 📈22 | $473.24 | -0.25% | $66.45 | -2.94% | Mon 9/16/24 |
|
24
|
1 | 📈23 | $473.49 | -0.20% | $66.49 | -2.88% | Tue 9/17/24 |
|
25
|
3 | 📈24 | $471.44 | -0.63% | $65.62 | -4.15% | Wed 9/18/24 |
|
26
|
3 | 📈25 | $483.36 | 1.88% | $70.58 | 3.10% | Thu 9/19/24 |
|
27
|
7 | 📈26 | $482.44 | 1.69% | $70.13 | 2.44% | Fri 9/20/24 |
|
28
|
7 | 📈27 | $483.04 | 1.82% | $70.65 | 3.20% | Mon 9/23/24 |
|
29
|
7 | 📈28 | $485.37 | 2.31% | $71.65 | 4.66% | Tue 9/24/24 |
|
30
|
7 | 📈29 | $485.95 | 2.43% | $71.67 | 4.69% | Wed 9/25/24 |
|
31
|
7 | 📈30 | $489.47 | 3.17% | $73.19 | 6.91% | Thu 9/26/24 |
|
32
|
7 | 📈31 | $486.75 | 2.60% | $71.93 | 5.07% | Fri 9/27/24 |
|
33
|
7 | 📈32 | $488.07 | 2.88% | $72.49 | 5.89% | Mon 9/30/24 |
|
34
|
6 | 📈33 | $481.27 | 1.44% | $69.42 | 1.40% | Tue 10/1/24 |
|
35
|
6 | 📈34 | $481.95 | 1.59% | $69.68 | 1.78% | Wed 10/2/24 |
|
36
|
6 | 📈35 | $481.59 | 1.51% | $69.52 | 1.55% | Thu 10/3/24 |
|
37
|
7 | 📈36 | $487.32 | 2.72% | $71.97 | 5.13% | Fri 10/4/24 |
|
38
|
6 | 📈37 | $482.10 | 1.62% | $69.60 | 1.67% | Mon 10/7/24 |
|
39
|
7 | 📈38 | $489.30 | 3.14% | $72.62 | 6.08% | Tue 10/8/24 |
|
40
|
8 | 📈39 | $493.15 | 3.95% | $74.37 | 8.63% | Wed 10/9/24 |
|
41
|
8 | 📈40 | $492.59 | 3.83% | $74.11 | 8.25% | Thu 10/10/24 |
|
42
|
8 | 📈41 | $493.36 | 3.99% | $74.30 | 8.53% | Fri 10/11/24 |
|
43
|
8 | 📈42 | $497.50 | 4.86% | $76.20 | 11.31% | Mon 10/14/24 |
|
44
|
7 | 📈43 | $490.85 | 3.46% | $73.16 | 6.87% | Tue 10/15/24 |
|
45
|
8 | 📈44 | $490.91 | 3.48% | $73.12 | 6.81% | Wed 10/16/24 |
|
46
|
8 | 📈45 | $491.25 | 3.55% | $73.34 | 7.13% | Thu 10/17/24 |
|
47
|
7 | 📈46 | $494.47 | 4.23% | $74.64 | 9.03% | Fri 10/18/24 |
|
48
|
7 | 📈47 | $495.42 | 4.43% | $75.05 | 9.63% | Mon 10/21/24 |
|
49
|
7 | 📈48 | $495.96 | 4.54% | $75.27 | 9.95% | Tue 10/22/24 |
|
50
|
6 | 📈49 | $488.36 | 2.94% | $71.79 | 4.86% | Wed 10/23/24 |
|
51
|
6 | 📈50 | $492.32 | 3.77% | $71.79 | 4.86% | Thu 10/24/24 |
|
52
|
7 | 📈51 | $495.32 | 4.41% | $74.74 | 9.17% | Fri 10/25/24 |
|
53
|
7 | 📈52 | $495.40 | 4.42% | $74.81 | 9.28% | Mon 10/28/24 |
|
54
|
7 | 📈53 | $500.16 | 5.43% | $76.88 | 12.30% | Tue 10/29/24 |
|
55
|
7 | 📈54 | $496.47 | 4.65% | $75.14 | 9.76% | Wed 10/30/24 |
|
56
|
5 | 📈55 | $483.85 | 1.99% | $69.45 | 1.45% | Thu 10/31/24 |
|
57
|
3 | 📈56 | $487.43 | 2.74% | $70.97 | 3.67% | Fri 11/1/24 |
|
58
|
5 | 📈57 | $486.01 | 2.44% | $70.27 | 2.64% | Mon 11/4/24 |
|
59
|
7 | 📈58 | $492.21 | 3.75% | $72.94 | 6.54% | Tue 11/5/24 |
|
60
|
8 | 📈59 | $505.58 | 6.57% | $78.86 | 15.19% | Wed 11/6/24 |
|
61
|
8 | 📈60 | $513.54 | 8.25% | $82.55 | 20.58% | Thu 11/7/24 |
|
62
|
7 | 📈61 | $514.14 | 8.37% | $82.75 | 20.87% | Fri 11/8/24 |
|
63
|
8 | 📈62 | $513.84 | 8.31% | $82.60 | 20.65% | Mon 11/11/24 |
|
64
|
8 | 📈63 | $512.91 | 8.11% | $82.15 | 20.00% | Tue 11/12/24 |
|
65
|
8 | 📈64 | $512.25 | 7.97% | $81.79 | 19.47% | Wed 11/13/24 |
|
66
|
8 | 📈65 | $508.69 | 7.09% | $80.06 | 16.64% | Thu 11/14/24 |
|
67
|
5 | 📈66 | $496.57 | 4.67% | $74.27 | 8.49% | Fri 11/15/24 |
|
68
|
6 | 📈67 | $500.02 | 5.40% | $75.77 | 10.68% | Mon 11/18/24 |
|
69
|
6 | 📈68 | $503.46 | 6.12% | $77.29 | 12.90% | Tue 11/19/24 |
|
70
|
7 | 📈69 | $503.17 | 6.06% | $77.20 | 12.77% | Wed 11/20/24 |
|
71
|
7 | 📈70 | $504.98 | 6.44% | $77.96 | 13.88% | Thu 11/21/24 |
|
72
|
7 | 📈71 | $505.79 | 6.61% | $78.25 | 14.30% | Fri 11/22/24 |
|
73
|
8 | 📈72 | $506.59 | 6.78% | $78.61 | 14.83% | Mon 11/25/24 |
|
74
|
8 | 📈73 | $509.31 | 7.35% | $79.83 | 16.61% | Tue 11/26/24 |
|
75
|
7 | 📈74 | $505.30 | 6.51% | $77.90 | 13.79% | Wed 11/27/24 |
|
76
|
7 | 📈75 | $509.74 | 7.44% | $79.89 | 16.70% | Fri 11/29/24 |
|
77
|
8 | 📈76 | $515.29 | 8.61% | $82.48 | 20.48% | Mon 12/2/24 |
|
78
|
7 | 📈77 | $516.87 | 8.95% | $83.21 | 21.55% | Tue 12/3/24 |
|
79
|
8 | 📈78 | $523.26 | 10.29% | $86.25 | 25.99% | Wed 12/4/24 |
|
80
|
8 | 📈79 | $521.81 | 9.99% | $85.54 | 24.95% | Thu 12/5/24 |
|
81
|
8 | 📈80 | $526.48 | 10.97% | $87.74 | 28.16% | Fri 12/6/24 |
|
82
|
7 | 📈81 | $522.38 | 10.11% | $85.69 | 25.17% | Mon 12/9/24 |
|
83
|
7 | 📈82 | $520.60 | 9.73% | $84.76 | 23.81% | Tue 12/10/24 |
|
84
|
8 | 📈83 | $529.92 | 11.70% | $89.29 | 30.43% | Wed 12/11/24 |
|
85
|
7 | 📈84 | $526.50 | 10.98% | $87.52 | 27.84% | Thu 12/12/24 |
|
86
|
7 | 📈85 | $530.53 | 11.83% | $89.40 | 30.59% | Fri 12/13/24 |
|
87
|
7 | 📈86 | $538.17 | 13.44% | $93.29 | 36.27% | Mon 12/16/24 |
|
88
|
7 | 📈87 | $535.80 | 12.94% | $92.04 | 34.44% | Tue 12/17/24 |
|
89
|
3 | 📈88 | $516.47 | 8.86% | $82.09 | 19.91% | Wed 12/18/24 |
|
90
|
3 | 📈89 | $514.17 | 8.38% | $80.93 | 18.22% | Thu 12/19/24 |
|
91
|
4 | 📈90 | $518.66 | 9.33% | $83.03 | 21.28% | Fri 12/20/24 |
|
92
|
4 | 📈91 | $522.87 | 10.21% | $85.06 | 24.25% | Mon 12/23/24 |
|
93
|
5 | 📈92 | $529.96 | 11.71% | $88.44 | 29.18% | Tue 12/24/24 |
|
94
|
5 | 📈93 | $529.60 | 11.63% | $88.25 | 28.91% | Thu 12/26/24 |
|
95
|
4 | 📈94 | $522.56 | 10.15% | $84.66 | 23.66% | Fri 12/27/24 |
|
96
|
3 | 📈95 | $515.61 | 8.68% | $81.26 | 18.70% | Mon 12/30/24 |
|
97
|
2 | 📈96 | $511.23 | 7.76% | $79.13 | 15.59% | Tue 12/31/24 |
|
98
|
2 | 📈97 | $510.23 | 7.55% | $78.63 | 14.86% | Thu 1/2/25 |
|
99
|
3 | 📈98 | $518.58 | 9.31% | $82.40 | 20.36% | Fri 1/3/25 |
|
100
|
5 | 📈99 | $524.54 | 10.56% | $85.21 | 24.47% | Mon 1/6/25 |
|
101
|
2 | 📈100 | $515.18 | 8.59% | $80.62 | 17.76% | Tue 1/7/25 |
|
102
|
-2 | 📉1 | $515.27 | 8.61% | $80.68 | 17.85% | Wed 1/8/25 |
Market Signal, Trend Count, closing prices, and return (%) over current uptrend
TQQQ vs QQQ Holdings
The table below compares TQQQ's returns to QQQ and its holdings over the duration of the uptrend that just ended.
TQQQ outperformed QQQ over this time frame by +9.24% (their returns were +17.85% and +8.61% respectively). As a ratio however, TQQQ's return was more than 2x QQQ's. For example, a $10,000 investment in TQQQ and QQQ over this timeframe would have returned $1785 and $861 respectively.
Additionally, TQQQ outperformed 71% of NASDAQ-100 (QQQ) holdings, including all of the Magnificent 7 except for TSLA, AMZN, and GOOG/GOOGL. In other words, there is less than 3 in 10 likelihood of having selected NASDAQ-100 stocks that outperformed TQQQ over the duration of the uptrend.
| A | B | C | D | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
Market Cap | Symbol | %Chg since 📈1 | Close on 📈1 | Close |
|
2
|
188,115 M | QQQ | 8.61% | $474.42 | $515.27 |
|
3
|
117,675 M | APP | 284.67% | $85.58 | $329.20 |
|
4
|
83,373 M | MSTR | 151.42% | $131.93 | $331.70 |
|
5
|
181,991 M | PLTR | 118.55% | $31.22 | $68.23 |
|
6
|
1,317,537 M | TSLA | 84.43% | $214.14 | $394.94 |
|
7
|
102,261 M | MRVL | 70.53% | $69.33 | $118.23 |
|
8
|
65,179 M | TEAM | 66.51% | $146.83 | $244.49 |
|
9
|
45,834 M | AXON | 54.50% | $373.69 | $577.34 |
|
10
|
46,056 M | LULU | 53.16% | $256.55 | $392.92 |
|
11
|
25,930 M | WBD | 38.95% | $7.24 | $10.06 |
|
12
|
1,090,045 M | AVGO | 38.03% | $166.13 | $229.31 |
|
13
|
88,431 M | CRWD | 37.71% | $260.49 | $358.72 |
|
14
|
162,301 M | BKNG | 34.05% | $3,634.67 | $4,872.42 |
|
15
|
72,678 M | DASH | 33.33% | $130.29 | $173.72 |
|
16
|
376,612 M | NFLX | 31.93% | $663.22 | $875.00 |
|
17
|
74,706 M | FTNT | 30.84% | $73.40 | $96.04 |
|
18
|
87,822 M | PYPL | 29.44% | $67.94 | $87.94 |
|
19
|
78,942 M | CEG | 28.07% | $190.39 | $243.84 |
|
20
|
33,150 M | TTWO | 25.52% | $146.38 | $183.74 |
|
21
|
2,357,360 M | AMZN | 25.08% | $177.59 | $222.13 |
|
22
|
42,213 M | BKR | 23.83% | $35.08 | $43.44 |
|
23
|
76,499 M | MAR | 23.27% | $221.90 | $273.53 |
|
24
|
234,425 M | CSCO | 21.99% | $48.53 | $59.20 |
|
25
|
49,202 M | DDOG | 21.96% | $116.33 | $141.88 |
|
26
|
60,137 M | TTD | 20.92% | $100.50 | $121.52 |
|
27
|
2,347,701 M | GOOGL | 20.24% | $161.30 | $193.95 |
|
28
|
113,921 M | GILD | 19.91% | $74.34 | $89.14 |
|
29
|
2,364,104 M | GOOG | 19.75% | $163.17 | $195.39 |
|
30
|
63,372 M | ADSK | 18.45% | $250.21 | $296.37 |
|
31
|
54,999 M | PCAR | 17.92% | $92.01 | $108.50 |
|
32
|
42,016 M | TQQQ | 17.85% | $68.46 | $80.68 |
|
33
|
3,538,070 M | NVDA | 14.04% | $122.86 | $140.11 |
|
34
|
1,526,382 M | META | 13.66% | $537.33 | $610.72 |
|
35
|
190,661 M | ISRG | 13.30% | $480.17 | $544.02 |
|
36
|
38,296 M | XEL | 12.72% | $58.90 | $66.39 |
|
37
|
50,290 M | PAYX | 11.47% | $125.82 | $140.25 |
|
38
|
148,275 M | ARM | 11.32% | $130.44 | $145.20 |
|
39
|
147,294 M | HON | 10.94% | $198.46 | $220.17 |
|
40
|
254,274 M | TMUS | 10.73% | $194.63 | $215.52 |
|
41
|
118,851 M | ADP | 10.71% | $263.66 | $291.89 |
|
42
|
31,666 M | DXCM | 10.68% | $72.36 | $80.09 |
|
43
|
54,834 M | CPRT | 10.04% | $51.60 | $56.78 |
|
44
|
84,788 M | ABNB | 10.03% | $118.88 | $130.80 |
|
45
|
67,255 M | WDAY | 9.99% | $231.56 | $254.69 |
|
46
|
50,950 M | MNST | 9.81% | $46.99 | $51.60 |
|
47
|
41,070 M | FAST | 9.47% | $66.63 | $72.94 |
|
48
|
83,338 M | CDNS | 8.07% | $280.12 | $302.73 |
|
49
|
69,520 M | ORLY | 8.05% | $1,115.89 | $1,205.74 |
|
50
|
3,678,587 M | AAPL | 8.00% | $224.72 | $242.70 |
|
51
|
406,869 M | COST | 5.70% | $877.35 | $927.37 |
|
52
|
29,591 M | ANSS | 5.68% | $325.00 | $343.47 |
|
53
|
39,014 M | VRSK | 5.37% | $266.14 | $280.42 |
|
54
|
50,892 M | ROST | 4.62% | $147.80 | $154.63 |
|
55
|
38,234 M | EXC | 1.84% | $37.50 | $38.19 |
|
56
|
36,787 M | GEHC | 1.13% | $85.30 | $86.26 |
|
57
|
3,147,557 M | MSFT | 0.84% | $421.03 | $424.56 |
|
58
|
37,871 M | CTSH | 0.73% | $75.47 | $76.02 |
|
59
|
120,249 M | PANW | 0.69% | $171.64 | $172.83 |
|
60
|
74,990 M | CTAS | 0.37% | $191.94 | $192.65 |
|
61
|
19,744 M | MDB | -0.15% | $249.05 | $248.68 |
|
62
|
50,952 M | CHTR | -0.76% | $352.01 | $349.32 |
|
63
|
35,101 M | CCEP | -1.13% | $76.78 | $75.91 |
|
64
|
106,887 M | ADI | -1.44% | $223.67 | $220.44 |
|
65
|
28,515 M | ZS | -1.61% | $190.34 | $187.28 |
|
66
|
38,368 M | EA | -1.93% | $147.04 | $144.20 |
|
67
|
104,967 M | SBUX | -2.40% | $94.88 | $92.60 |
|
68
|
88,675 M | INTC | -3.91% | $20.69 | $19.88 |
|
69
|
176,412 M | INTU | -4.00% | $652.14 | $626.05 |
|
70
|
62,365 M | CSX | -4.25% | $33.63 | $32.20 |
|
71
|
29,620 M | CSGP | -4.31% | $74.55 | $71.34 |
|
72
|
49,023 M | AEP | -4.45% | $96.56 | $92.26 |
|
73
|
173,786 M | TXN | -5.09% | $201.93 | $191.66 |
|
74
|
144,146 M | CMCSA | -5.95% | $39.52 | $37.17 |
|
75
|
55,184 M | ROP | -6.64% | $546.57 | $510.30 |
|
76
|
100,131 M | MU | -7.05% | $106.95 | $99.41 |
|
77
|
196,891 M | LIN | -7.92% | $456.14 | $420.01 |
|
78
|
175,349 M | QCOM | -8.23% | $173.34 | $159.08 |
|
79
|
23,864 M | GFS | -8.39% | $45.43 | $41.62 |
|
80
|
76,317 M | SNPS | -8.44% | $548.28 | $502.00 |
|
81
|
38,624 M | ODFL | -8.91% | $197.14 | $179.58 |
|
82
|
34,026 M | IDXX | -10.95% | $485.52 | $432.36 |
|
83
|
42,783 M | KDP | -11.92% | $35.33 | $31.12 |
|
84
|
104,843 M | VRTX | -12.69% | $472.00 | $412.11 |
|
85
|
92,988 M | MELI | -12.89% | $1,996.44 | $1,739.00 |
|
86
|
49,918 M | FANG | -13.02% | $196.58 | $170.99 |
|
87
|
37,013 M | KHC | -13.25% | $34.19 | $29.66 |
|
88
|
96,643 M | LRCX | -13.45% | $89.01 | $77.04 |
|
89
|
205,318 M | PEP | -15.06% | $172.52 | $146.54 |
|
90
|
138,375 M | AMAT | -16.45% | $211.83 | $176.99 |
|
91
|
80,044 M | MDLZ | -17.06% | $70.28 | $58.29 |
|
92
|
53,083 M | NXPI | -17.19% | $253.25 | $209.72 |
|
93
|
203,451 M | AMD | -17.32% | $147.36 | $121.84 |
|
94
|
87,882 M | KLAC | -17.94% | $836.19 | $686.20 |
|
95
|
23,219 M | CDW | -18.27% | $221.87 | $181.34 |
|
96
|
140,414 M | AMGN | -18.80% | $325.39 | $264.21 |
|
97
|
280,886 M | ASML | -19.85% | $928.25 | $743.98 |
|
98
|
205,447 M | AZN | -21.58% | $84.90 | $66.58 |
|
99
|
27,213 M | ON | -23.15% | $75.88 | $58.31 |
|
100
|
189,537 M | ADBE | -24.29% | $554.16 | $419.58 |
|
101
|
22,180 M | BIIB | -25.23% | $201.63 | $150.75 |
|
102
|
30,969 M | MCHP | -30.65% | $81.30 | $56.38 |
|
103
|
134,461 M | PDD | -30.85% | $145.08 | $100.32 |
|
104
|
78,917 M | REGN | -37.58% | $1,175.33 | $733.59 |
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